Vegas Over Under Nba Wins
It’s time to put your wagers down ahead of the 2019-20 NBA season.
With so much activity in the summer between big trades and even bigger signings, it’s a little tougher than usual to peg the over/unders for each of the 30 teams, but luckily, our Nick Schwartz and Charles Curtis have crunched the numbers, done hours and hours research and come up with their predictions (or, like everyone else, they’re just guessing!).
Las Vegas Raiders; Los Angeles Chargers. NBA Team Over/Under Trends - All Games, 2020-2021. Win/Loss ATS Over/Under. Over Record: The number of times. The NBA season is almost upon us, and with Las Vegas sports books releasing each team’s season win total line, our own Luke Kerr-Dineen and Nate Scott do the honors of picking the over/under for. As the regular season tips off, the over-under for 76ers victories is 16.5, the lowest of any team and the lowest total LVH sports book oddsmaker Jeff Sherman can remember putting up on any NBA. Las Vegas oddsmakers predict the Golden State Warriors will have the best record for the upcoming NBA season, with their over/under wins set at 67.5. (Credit: Getty Images / Ronald Martinez) The NBA season is rapidly approaching, which means that Las Vegas is gearing up for betting on the number of wins each team will get.
Here are their over/under takes as the Oct. 22 opening night gets closer with the Raptors and Pelicans playing, followed by Lakers-Clippers.
(All bets courtesy of BetMGM)
Atlanta Hawks: 33.5
Charles: Over
They won 29 games last season and play in the weaker conference. That and a step forward from this young roster is worth five victories.
Nick: Over
This one is probably going to come down to the wire, but I’m high on Trae Young and Cam Reddish.
Boston Celtics: 48.5
Charles: Over
Losing Al Horford will hurt a lot, but maybe Kemba Walker replacing Kyrie Irving will be what the locker room needs to just get to 49 wins again.
Nick: Under
This team only won 49 a year ago, and I’m not convinced they’re better off with Kemba Walker over Kyrie Irving, especially with Horford gone. Much will depend on Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown, but I don’t feel especially comfortable betting on the Celtics to exceed expectations.
Brooklyn Nets: 45.5
Charles: Under
I loved this team last year, I think they’re in for big things when Kevin Durant returns. But I just don’t know if this roster without KD is ready to make the leap quite yet.
Nick: Over
I think there’s a nonzero chance Kyrie Irving has chemistry issues with his new teammates and we see a Boston 2.0 situation play out, but I’m banking on Caris LeVert to look like the borderline All-Star he was before his injury last year.
Charlotte Hornets: 23.5
Charles: Under
UNDER! UNDERUNDERUNDERUNDER! Does that cover it?
Nick: Under
23.5 wins is not very many wins… but this team is gross.
Chicago Bulls: 32.5
Charles: Over
I’m intrigued! Not “they’re totally sneaking into the playoffs” intrigued, but I think this roster — with vets including Thaddeus Young and Otto Porter Jr. — will be good enough to hit the over.
Nick: Over
The Bulls made some solid moves in the offseason, and this may be the Lauri Markkanen breakout year.
Cleveland Cavaliers: 24.5
Charles: Under
This is assuming the franchise trades Kevin Love at some point.
Nick: Under
The Cavaliers have some interesting young pieces that could potentially drag this franchise toward .500 in the coming years – but this team is a project, and they’ll probably need to move Kevin Love whenever they can.
Dallas Mavericks: 40.5
Charles: Under
I love the idea of Luka Doncic and Kristaps Porzingis playing together, plus there are a lot of sneaky-good rotation guys in the mix. But! Are we sure Porzingis will stay completely healthy? Can they really win 41 times in the West? I’m nervous. This one is going to be close.
Nick: Under
Even with the Warriors and Thunder bracing for a nosedive in the standings, there are too many good teams in the West.
Denver Nuggets: 52.5
Charles: Under
Another team I love watching, but are they going to get left in the dust with the conference improving all over the place?
Nick: Under
This team won 54 games a year ago, when they were comparatively stronger relative to the field in the West. Denver was 5-2 against the Lakers and Clippers last season. They might go 2-5 this year.
Detroit Pistons: 37.5
Charles: Over
A second-straight .500 season seems about right here.
Nick: Over
Blake Griffin quietly put up his best season since 2014 last year with the Pistons. This team can hang in the East, barring injuries.
Golden State Warriors: 47.5
Charles: Over
Are we so sure they’re going to be so much worse? Are we so sure Klay Thompson is going to miss that much time? I’ll take the over — there’s no way they lose 10 fewer games than last season.
Nick: Under
It remains to be seen if this team can stop any opposing guards, and the loss of Kevin Durant and Klay Thompson (for a significant period) is too much to bear. There’s no doubt in my mind that Durant and Thompson are worth around 10 wins over the course of a season, and the West is even more dangerous than it was a year ago.
Houston Rockets: 53.5
Charles: Under
I just don’t know about Russell Westbrook figuring out how to share with James Harden, so while they’re probably a 50-plus win team, they end up just missing.
Nick: Over
I have reservations about the Westbrook-Harden combo, but I still think they’ll cruise in the regular season before imploding in the playoffs, in true Rockets fashion.
Indiana Pacers: 46.5
Vegas Over Under Nba Wins
Charles: Over
They’re deep as heck and picked up some key role players this offseason. I’m fairly confident with this one.
Nick: Over
This was a good team without Victor Oladipo for much of the season last year, and he should be back by December or January. Comfortably over, here.
Los Angeles Clippers: 54.5
Charles: Over
Here’s your No. 1 seed in the West, which gets them to 55 victories or more.
Nick: Under
The Clippers will likely lead the league in load management, and Paul George is already expected to miss at least the first month of the season. I think the Clippers sacrifice the regular season to be as prepared as possible for the postseason.
Los Angeles Lakers: 51.5
Charles: Under
I’m not buying it. I worry about the backcourt and about how they make Anthony Davis and Dwight Howard/JaVale McGee work. So I’ll assume they’re a playoff team at 49 to 50 wins.
Nick: Over
Kyle Kuzma is the X-factor here, and the Lakers won’t be rushing him back as he recovers from a stress reaction in his foot. Still, LeBron James was putting up MVP-level numbers last year before his injury, and Anthony Davis is my pick to win the 2020 MVP award. With the Rockets, Thunder and Warriors all potentially falling in the standings, the wins will be there for the taking.
Memphis Grizzlies: 27.5
Charles: Under
I’m extremely excited for the Ja and Jaren Era, but it’s going to be painful in Year 1.
Nick: Under
I’m surprised this line wasn’t closer to 25.5 or 24.5. This team is going to struggle without Mike Conley.
Miami Heat: 43.5
Charles: Over
Jimmy Butler and a big year from Bam Adebayo cement them as a postseason team.
Nick: Over
This one feels like a trap, as I think the East is probably better than we’re giving it credit for, but Jimmy Butler is probably worth the bump they need from a year ago.
Milwaukee Bucks: 57.5
Charles: Under
The No. 1 seed in the East is certainly right there for the taking. But maybe they take a little step back simply because of a regression to the mean?
Nick: Over
I’m not as high on the 76ers as many others are, and with Toronto losing Kawhi, the Bucks are the clear class of the Eastern Conference. The No. 1 seed is a lock.
Minnesota Timberwolves: 35.5
Charles: Under
Did they do anything of note this offseason to change a mediocre squad? Nope.
Nick: Under
Even if Karl-Anthony Towns takes a step forward and joins the MVP conversation – and that’s a big if – he has no help on this team.
New Orleans Pelicans: 39.5
Charles: Under
That seems a little high for an extremely young team of mostly newcomers.
Nick: Under
Even if Zion Williamson exceeds his already sky-high expectations, which I suspect he won’t, 40 wins is too many to expect in the West from a group of Lakers castoffs and Jrue Holiday.
New York Knicks: 26.5
Charles: Under
Even getting to that terrible number seems like a lot to ask for the mishmash the front office put together after whiffing on the big free agents this offseason.
Nick: Under
I think people are sleeping on Julius Randle, who will emerge as a national star this season – but this roster is still weak.
Oklahoma City Thunder: 31.5
Charles: Under
Another one where I assume some deals will be made to leave a somewhat barebones roster even more gutted.
Nick: Under
The best thing the Thunder can do is jettison Chris Paul and let Shai Gilgeous-Alexander put in a full year to develop. They won’t win many games doing this, but this team is already focused on future drafts.
Orlando Magic: 41.5
Charles: Over
Things are starting to look up with this team — and hey, maybe Markelle Fultz will turn out to be good? — so I’ll take the over.
Nick: Under
This one’s on a razor’s edge, but enough teams have seemingly improved more significantly (Heat, Hawks, Nets, Pacers, Bulls), that I’m not sure the Magic repeat their 42-win season.
Philadelphia 76ers: 54.5
Charles: Over
It all comes together after a fantastic offseason, and the remade starting five carries the Sixers to the top seed in the East.
Nick: Over
I don’t think the Sixers are a better team than they were a year ago, and I need to see Ben Simmons draining jumpers before I believe it, but with the Celtics’ overhaul and the Raptors’ losing Kawhi in the Atlantic, I do think the Sixers will post a better record this season.
Phoenix Suns: 28.5
Charles: Under
What, are Ricky Rubio and Dario Saric suddenly worth 10 wins? No thank you.
Nick: Under
There’s no chance.
Portland Trail Blazers: 46.5
Charles: Over
This team could very easily get to 50 wins even with the improvements made by others around them.
Nick: Over
The Blazers won 53 last season, and while they’ll be without Jusuf Nurkic indefinitely, Hassan Whiteside should be a serviceable replacement.
Sacramento Kings: 37.5
Charles: Over
Sigh. They were on their way to a bottom-two postseason seed … and then the Western Conference got so much harder. I think they get to 39 wins again.
Nick: Under
Too many other teams in the West have improved more notably than the Kings, who only managed to re-sign Harrison Barnes and add Dewayne Dedmon and Trevor Ariza. It’ll be close, though.
San Antonio Spurs: 46.5
Charles: Under
If it is under, it won’t be by much.
Nick: Over
Dejounte Murray’s back! DeMar DeRozan is in year 2! LaMarcus Aldridge is still a stud!
Toronto Raptors: 46.5
Charles: Over
Yes, losing Kawhi Leonard hurts a lot, but they’re not bad enough to hit the under with OG Anunoby getting healthy and with a deep bench.
Nick: Under
There’s a logjam in the middle of the East, and the Raptors have to avoid both a post-championship letdown and make up for the loss of a top-3 player in the game.
Utah Jazz: 54.5
Charles: Under
The expectations are sky-high, as they should be, after Bojan Bogdanovic and Mike Conley were added. But 55 wins? That’s a little too sky-high for me.
Nick: Under
Donovan Mitchell hasn’t peaked yet and Mike Conley is a great get, but I don’t think the Nuggets improve by five wins from last season.
Washington Wizards: 28.5
Charles: Under
A potential Bradley Beal trade cements them as one of the worst teams in the league (and yes, this includes if John Wall returns).
Nick: Under
Thomas Bryant is a stud and you should make sure he’s on your fantasy team. That’s about the only positive thing I have to say about the Wizards.
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Nba Over Under Vegas Wins 2020
The Golden State Warriors are projected to win 10 more games during the regular season than the defending NBA champion Cleveland Cavaliers, according to season win totals posted Tuesday by the Westgate SuperBook in Las Vegas.
The Warriors' season win total is set at 66.5. The Cavaliers and San Antonio Spurs each opened at 56.5 at the Westgate.
The day after Kevin Durant signed with the Warriors, the SuperBook opened the over/under on Golden State's season win total at 68.5. It is the highest win total oddsmaker Jeff Sherman has ever posted prior to the season and attracted early money on the under from sharp bettors.
Vegas Over Under Nba Wins 2019
'Basically, the sharps are liking the under [on Golden State] and the public is liking the over,' Sherman said.
The 10-win gap between the Warriors and the other elite teams, Cleveland and San Antonio, is unusual, Sherman said. In past seasons, the elite teams had opening win totals in the range of 61.5, with the next tier of contenders listed in the high 50s. In addition to the Cavaliers and Spurs, only two other teams -- the LA Clippers (53.5) and Boston Celtics (51.5) -- opened with win totals greater than 50.
'It's really an outlier for the Warriors to be as separated as they are,' Sherman said.
Several teams that missed the playoffs last season are projected to make significant improvements. After going 10-72 last season, the Philadelphia 76ers' win total opened at 27. The Minnesota Timberwolves, who hired coach Tom Thibodeau after going 29-53 last season, opened with a win total of 41.5. The Utah Jazz's win total opened at 47.5, the third highest in the Western Conference.
Las Vegas Over Under Nba Wins 2021-2022
The Brooklyn Nets have the lowest win total at 20.5, followed by the Los Angeles Lakers at 24.5. That's 42 wins less than the Warriors, who remain outright favorites at -140 to win the title.
Vegas Over Under Nba Wins 2019-2020
Sherman said Tuesday that almost four times as much money had been bet on the Warriors than on any other team. Approximately 60 percent of the money bet on Westgate's odds to win the NBA title is on Golden State.
Nba Team Over Under Wins Vegas
The Warriors, however, haven't attracted the most overall bets to win the championship. At the SuperBook, more bets have been placed on the 80-1 longshot New York Knicks than any other team.